Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.810989 16.728438 18.814998 21.256615 24.038485 27.112920 30.773214
2025-02-16 11.161652 13.593809 16.459008 20.093188 24.594101 30.003629 37.025518
2025-02-23 8.949729 11.597298 14.927560 19.445469 25.447986 33.195039 44.025891
2025-03-02 7.475935 10.208189 13.841249 19.061419 26.429181 36.544518 51.635687
2025-03-09 6.476839 9.255038 13.132230 18.991080 27.713527 40.364863 60.370757
2025-03-16 5.693956 8.468547 12.509709 18.896083 28.868524 44.065445 69.398167
2025-03-23 5.252790 8.106176 12.429604 19.552747 31.183171 49.749440 82.283114
2025-03-30 4.756278 7.585890 12.027647 19.625303 32.541144 54.048439 93.496114
2025-04-06 4.237911 6.962092 11.376617 19.187973 32.962472 56.800054 102.391833
2025-04-13 3.821597 6.453248 10.846159 18.869702 33.513695 59.793677 112.093774
2025-04-20 3.603271 6.251749 10.804090 19.384406 35.590263 65.748767 128.211678
2025-04-27 3.427675 6.102754 10.831227 20.016366 37.946208 72.505270 146.913079
2025-05-04 3.190987 5.826894 10.615708 20.198443 39.524204 78.094576 164.414398
2025-05-11 2.898863 5.418555 10.113898 19.772283 39.851384 81.253031 177.340696
2025-05-18 2.651595 5.069063 9.685532 19.438507 40.321283 84.770005 191.669182
2025-05-25 2.441674 4.769837 9.321899 19.190258 40.933690 88.668621 207.540986
2025-06-01 2.279136 4.547650 9.086936 19.180807 42.058768 93.848211 227.368055
2025-06-08 2.127103 4.330976 8.839570 19.112463 43.038071 98.826171 247.573315
2025-06-15 2.056964 4.277272 8.925523 19.790125 45.826604 108.459408 281.504600
2025-06-22 1.940746 4.113362 8.758084 19.869511 47.201226 114.856494 308.003267
2025-06-29 1.793657 3.867825 8.387086 19.428987 47.243139 117.915744 325.836317
2025-07-06 1.669528 3.661181 8.081735 19.107614 47.536171 121.649776 346.261413
2025-07-13 1.615546 3.607963 8.120008 19.629775 50.070727 131.695605 387.277039